Tips for talking about Climate Change

August 8, 2022

Friends, isn’t it funny how sometimes you come across something at just the right time.

And since I have now become one of the ‘mad people’ you have to avoid eye-contact with as you walk past me in the street, I was happy to come upon these notes on Talking about Climate Change.

The notes were prepared by Richard Erskine as part of his work to raise consciousness of Climate Change in his local area. And the aim is to simply share some experiences and ideas about dealing with some of the most common situations one encounters.

  • You can find Richard’s blog here
  • You can follow him on Twitter here.
  • And you can download the notes as a pdf file here.

There is no point in me re-writing what Richard has written, but I thought I would just highlight some of the things the document covered that I felt were especially delightful. And the main feature I liked was the subtitle: you don’t have to be an expert.

On my first day out, I went equipped with a laptop loaded up with key graphs and animations. On contact with the public it immediately became obvious that these would not be needed. Talking to people in the street is absolutely NOT about lecturing clearly. And although Richard’s notes include some well-referenced ‘facts’, it is not about knowing the very latest facts.

The point of speaking to people in the street lies in the power of conversation, and the sheer pleasure humans take in ‘having a chat’. And meeting someone who is honest and straightforward and concerned, and not trying to sell anything is a pretty powerful event in most people’s days.


The document starts with some tips on starting conversations and some key Climate Facts. And then there are 10 questions which I have listed below together with my précis of the Richard’s more expansive comments.

Q1. CO2 is only a trace gas (0.04%) of the atmosphere. How can that affect the climate?

  • This drink contains 0.04% cyanide, would you like some?

Q2. CO2 is used by plants so isn’t more of it a good thing

  • Yes, CO2 is used by plants, but it also affects the climate, and many plants can’t cope with heat-induced stress. Look at the grass…

Q3. We’ve had heat waves before (1976) so what’s the fuss?

  • Heat waves have become more likely year-on-year, and this one has extended across much of the northern hemisphere. Reaching 40 °C in the UK would have been impossible without the underlying warming.

Q4. Aren’t Electric Vehicles (EVs) environmentally bad?

  • EVs are much better for the environment than petrol and diesel cars, but they are not perfect.

Q5. Don’t we need better public transport rather than Electric Vehicles (EVs)?

  • This is not an “either-or” decision.

Q6 What about China; our emissions are tiny compared to theirs?

  • China’s per person and historic emissions are much lower than ours, and they have become the factory of the world. Many items you own were probably made in China. 

Q7. The problem is population growth, so what can we do, and is it even worth trying?

  • This places the blame on the poorest people in the world who have NOT caused global warming. The problem is caused by our society’s consumption.

Q8. “What’s the big deal about the world warming by 1°C or 2°C?”

  • Like your body, the climate and ecology of the Earth are adapted to living at a particular temperature. Just like you, a rise in temperature of 2  °C or 3 °C is very serious.

Q9. Arctic methane and other tipping points have already been crossed, so we need to now just prepare for the worst, don’t we?

  • We don’t have runaway Climate Change yet – and we want to avoid that. So every action matters, every bit of warming matters, every choice matters.

Q10. I am not a denier, but we can’t afford to rush it; Net Zero by 2050 is just an arbitrary target, we need more time

  • It is not a choice between the economy and climate change measures. With consistent policies and investment in a low carbon economy, we can actually have a flourishing future, good for jobs and the planet.


Friends, Climate Change is real and terrifying, and it is easy to feel petrified into inaction. But having honest conversations with friends and acquaintances is a great way to clarify one’s own thoughts and to help others clarify theirs.

But our conversations have been seeded – deliberately I believe – with false narratives that

  • either deny that Climate Change exists,
  • or if it exists that it is important,
  • or if it is important that it’s our responsibility,
  • or if its our responsibility that we can afford to do anything
  • or if we do anything that it is just as bad as everything else

These notes might just help you to avoid getting sucked into those awful conversational paths.

Good Luck!

Sodium Acetate: Fun in the Kitchen with Phase Change Experiments

August 7, 2022

Friends, you may recall that in a recent article I wrote about Phase Change Materials (PCMs) used for thermal storage. I illustrated that article with a measurement of the temperature versus time as some molten candle wax solidified. I then tried to work out how much so-called ‘latent’ heat was released as the wax solidified.

A Twitter source then told me that the actual material used in commercial thermal storage units was sodium acetate trihydrate, and within 18 hours, a kilogram of the substance was delivered to my door.

NOTE: In this article I have used the term sodium acetate to mean sodium acetate trihydrate and in some locations it is abbreviated to SAT.

NOTE: Sodium acetate is pretty safe from a toxicity perspective: it’s an allowed food ingredient E262, but one needs to be careful not to scald oneself – or others – when handling the hot liquid.

So I began a series of experiments in which I made a great variety of very different, but similarly basic, errors. There really is nothing like a practical experiment for making one feel incompetent and stupid! Part of the problem was that I was trying to do other things at the same time as reading the temperature of the two samples (wax and sodium acetate).

To overcome these difficulties,  I eventually bought a thermocouple data-logger which can read up to 4 thermocouples simultaneously and save the data on an SD card. This allowed me (a) get on with life and (b) to do something clever: to measure the cooling curve of a sample of water at the same time. I’ll explain why this was important later.

Eventually – after a series of new basic mistakes such as setting the logging interval to 30 minutes rather than30 seconds – I began to get some interesting data. And sodium acetate really is an extraordinary substance.

Of course my experiments are not complete and I would really like to repeat the whole series of experiments based on the golden rule, but I really need to the clean up the kitchen.


As shown below, I heated three samples of equal volumes of wax, sodium acetate and water to roughly 90 °C for around 10 minutes – sufficient to melt all the SAT.

I then transferred the samples – while logging their temperature – into a cardboard stand where I guessed that the cooling environment of each sample would be similar.

The results of the first experiment are shown below.

Click on image for a larger version. The temperature of the three samples of water, wax and sodium acetate as a function of time.

The first thing to notice is how odd the curves are for the wax and the sodium acetate. They both have discontinuities in their rate of cooling.

And strikingly, although they start at similar temperatures, they both stay hotter than the water for longer – this is what makes them candidate thermal storage materials. But precisely how much more heat have they released?

To work this out we need to start with the cooling curve for the water which (happily) behaves normally i.e. smoothly. We would expect…

  • …the cooling rate (°C/s) to be proportional to…
  • …the difference between the temperature at any particular time, and the temperature of the environment (roughly 27 °C during Experiment #1).

Using the magic of spreadsheets we can check if this is the case, and as the graph below demonstrates, it is indeed approximately so.

Click on image for a larger version. The cooling rate of the water  as function of the difference between water temperature and the temperature of the environment.

Because the heat capacity of water is reasonably constant over this temperature range, we can now convert this cooling rate into an estimate of how much heat was leaving the water sample at each temperature. To do this we note that for each °C that each gram of water cools, 4.2 J of heat must leave the sample. So if 1 gram of water cools at a rate of 1 °C/s, then the rate of heat loss must be 4.2 J/s or 4.2 W.

Click on image for a larger version. Estimate for the rate of loss of heat (in watts) of the water as function of the difference between water temperature and the temperature of the environment.

This last graph tells us that when the temperature difference from the environments is (say) 10 °C, then the water is losing 0.104 x 10 = 1.04 watts of heat. Based on the closeness of the fit to the data, I would estimate there is about a 10% uncertainty in this figure.

Finally, if we add the amount of heat lost during the time interval between each data point, we can estimate the cumulative total amount of heat lost.

It is this cumulative total that indicates the capacity of a substance to store heat.

Importantly, because all the samples are held similarly, at any particular temperature, I think the heat loss from each of the other samples must be the similar to that for water when it was at the same temperature – even though the cooling rates are quite different.

Using this insight, I converted the cooling curve (temperature versus time) for these materials – into curves showing cumulative heat loss curves versus time.

Click on image for a larger version. Estimates for the cumulative heat lost from the water, wax and SAT (sodium acetate) samples as a function of time. Also shown as dotted lines are the limiting extrapolations from (a) the first part of the cooling curve of the SAT and (b) the final part of the cooling curve. The difference between these two extrapolations is an estimate for the latent heat of the SAT.

We can apply a couple of sanity checks here. The first is that the heat lost from the water comes to about 10.7 kilojoules. Since the 60 g of water cooled from 70 °C to 28 °C then based on a heat capacity of water of 4,200 J/°C/kg we would expect a heat loss of (0.06 x 4200 x 42 =)10.6 kJ. This rough numerical agreement just indicates that the spreadsheet analysis has not resulted in any gross errors.

Looking at the difference between the extrapolation of the first part of the SAT curve, and the extrapolation of the final curve, we see a difference of approximately 23.8 kJ. This heat evolved from 88 g of SAT in the tube and so corresponds to 23.8/0.088 = 270 kJ/kg. We can check that against an academic paper, which suggests values in the range 264 to 289 kJ/kg. So that too seems to check out.

With everything sort of working, I tried the experiment a couple more times

Further Experiments: coping with super-cooling

The most striking feature of these experiments is that when the sodium acetate freezes, it releases its ‘latent heat’ and warms up to its equilibrium freezing temperature of roughly 58 °C.

From the first experiment – and the experiments I had done previously – it became clear that the sodium acetate tended to supercool substantially. This is the process whereby a substance remains a liquid even when it is cooled below its equilibrium freezing temperature.

[The physics of supercooling is fascinating but I don’t really have time to discuss it here. In facile terms, it is like when a cartoon character runs over the edge of a cliff but doesn’t fall until it realises that there is nothing holding it up!]

In this context, the supercooling is just an irritation! So I tried different techniques in each of the three difference experiments

  • In Experiment #1, I stirred the sample to initiate the freezing.
  • In Experiment #2, I placed spoons in each sample in the hope that some additional cooling would initiate the freezing. It didn’t.
  • In Experiment #3, I left the sample for as long as was practical in the hope it would spontaneously freeze. It didn’t.
  • In Experiment #4, I left the sample for longer than was practical. But it still didn’t freeze spontaneously.

So I didn’t manage to control the supercooling – in each case I initiated the freeze by poking, shaking or stirring. I’ll comment on this failure at the end of the article.

The data and analysis from experiments 2, 3 and 4 is shown below.

Click on image for a larger version. The upper three graphs show 3 cooling curves for wax and SAT. The water sample is not shown to simplify the graphs. The Lower 3 graphs show estimates for the cumulative heat lost from the wax and SAT samples as a function of time. Also shown as dotted lines are the limiting extrapolations from (a) the first part of the cooling curve of the SAT and (b) the final part of the cooling curve. The difference between these two extrapolations is an estimate for the latent heat of the SAT.


The most important conclusion from the analysis above is that a given volume of SAT releases much more thermal energy on cooling than the equivalent volume of either water or wax. This what makes it useful for thermal storage.

If we consider heat released above 40 °C, then the SAT releases around 3 times as much heat as a similar volume of water. This means an equivalent thermal store built using SAT can be up to 3 times smaller than the equivalent thermal store using a hot water cylinder.

The experiments gave four estimates for the heat related as latent heat which are summarised in the table below. Pleasingly all are in reasonable agreement with the suggested likely range of results from 264 to 289 kJ/kg.

Click on image for a larger version. Three estimates of the latent heat of Sodium Acetate Trihydrate (SAT)

Practical Devices

Scaling to a larger sample, 100 kg of sodium acetate would occupy a volume of 68 litres and fit in a cube with a side of just 40 cm or so, and release around 27MJ (7.5 kWh) of latent heat. This is roughly the equivalent of the heat stored in a 200 litre domestic hot water cylinder.

Sodium acetate is the thermal storage medium in a range of devices that can serve the same purpose as a domestic hot water cylinder but which occupy (in practice) rather less than half the volume. Clever!

Heat is stored by melting the sodium acetate in an insulated box, and released by running cold water through pipes immersed in the sodium acetate: the water is heated and emerges piping hot through your taps! As the sodium acetate freezes, the temperature remains stable – and the water delivered similarly remains piping hot.

But what about the supercooling? How do the devices prevent from the sodium acetate from supercooling? I’m afraid I don’t know. This paper discusses some practical considerations for thermal storage devices made using SAT, and it lists a number of additives that apparently rectify shortcomings in SAT behaviour. One of the additives is – curiously – wallpaper paste. I did try experiments with this but I didn’t observe any regular change in behaviour.

In any case, have fun with your sodium acetate experiments. It is available from here.

More Climate Communications

August 2, 2022

Friends, I have been out again in search of inspiration for how to encourage changes that will reduce carbon dioxide emissions.

In this article I am just noting down things that happened and reflecting on the interactions. It seems that there is widespread ignorance and misunderstanding of Climate Change coupled with bewilderment about what will actually make a difference.

These notes are for two quite contrasting days. As usual, a solid 99% of people just passed by. Of those who stopped, there was quite a bit of positivity, but also some bizarrely misinformed opinions.

I am still learning…

Thursday, July 28.

10:58 Set up outside CarpetRIght in Teddington.

11:05 John stopped by with many positive ideas. He suggested I put posters in the library and in the local community noticeboard on Broad Street which I could access through the library. He suggested my board should show the savings to be gleaned from using low carbon energy, such as solar power. John lived locally and his street had a WhatsApp group that could share information. It made me think that maybe the ‘Neighbourhood’ app might be useful.

11:12 When John walked back the other way he held up his fist and said “Viva La Revolution

11:23 A mother and her two children (a boy aged 12 and a girl aged 9) stopped by. She was very supportive but the children were obviously disinterested. I asked her what things I could do to communicate better, and she suggested my box should have more colour on it. The children then suggested there should be graphics showing a healthy earth and a poorly earth. The boy suggested I should use Instagram. The mother said they were going with the children to Bordeaux in France next week, and that they would see some of the evidence of wildfires. 

11:34 Three teenagers walked by and waved. But didn’t stop to talk

11:35 A lady caught my eye and said she was in a rush for work, but wished me good luck.

11:38 Man on a bright yellow Suzuki motorbike stopped at the traffic lights, and caught my eye. He nodded.

11:45 A regular at the Sidra café where I have my morning coffee stopped by. I said I was just trying to find out what people thought, and get out of my Twitter bubble. He told me that “almost everyone will agree with me, but that almost no one knew what to do“. I said that seemed a succinct précis of what people had said

11:48 A gentleman, quite elderly, with a straw hat stopped by and asked me “What’s going on with all this weather then? Are we going to get more of it?”. I said we probably were going to get more of it, one or two days like that every year and then slowly becoming more common. I asked him if he thought there was anything we could do about it, and he told me it was “...all those gases going up in the atmosphere“, a phrase he repeated several times. As he left he said “We’ll just have to see what happens then…“.

11:54 A lady called who works in the theology department at the local University stopped by. “Air-conditioning on the buses and trains” she said “that’s the solution“. She said she was out on the 40 °C day, and that the solution was to wear damp T-shirts and trousers. I suggested that some people might think it immodest for ladies to wear a wet T-shirt but she was unabashed.

12:10 An elegantly-dressed lady pushing her mother in a wheelchair stopped by. She said it wasn’t a popular thing to say but she wasn’t sure that it wasn’t the best thing for people to just destroy themselves, leaving just a few small tribes on Earth, and then people would be forced to live sustainably.

She said that what people want is to know what is the right thing, but something which will influence others. We discussed the idea of a Personal Carbon budget. For example, people could have a lifetime budget of 100 tons of carbon emissions by flying, which they could then sell, or buy from other people. She seemed to like this idea.

Her mother intervened to say that when she was younger, flying was very expensive and so people went by boat, and she had come to England from Canada on a freighter which had just a few cabins for passengers. “Flying was very expensive. Slower is better.” she said.

The lady thought that “Human beings will pay if they have too. Raising the price of things will eliminate frivolous use of things e.g., weekend trips”.

She said that  People are creative” and told me that in Lebanon people had rigged up makeshift solar systems with batteries to get by when there was no mains electricity and that people there cooked collectively. She said this was also done in Morocco and Algeria. 

She told me to look out for the ”The Boy Who Harnessed The Wind” a Netflix film about renewable energy in Africa

12:22 A lady carrying her lunch back to her office spoke as she passed, saying “Thank you for doing this.”, although I am not sure she knew what I was doing!

12:24 A gentleman passing by didn’t stop but looked at me, and raised his eyebrows and said “Alright!”

12:29 Colleagues from NPL passed by, and one person told me that his wife’s sister’s husband (!) had asked them if they had heard about this “Protons for Breakfast” site. So it does seem that news is travelling.

12:42 An ex-colleague from NPL stopped by. He was working on life-cycle impact assessments, and said he had done did a life-cycle assessment of the Audi E Tron (an EV) and that it was worse than petrol cars because of the massive embodied energy in the battery.

12:52 A lady was walking slowly past with a stick. I caught her eye and commented that it was warm now. She nodded and said “As long as it doesn’t get too warm…

12:58 A man who worked at a local e-bike shop stopped and suggested I should get a giant banner and block the entire road. He said he had heard that the materials mined for batteries involved child labour. I told him I was pretty sure that involved the cobalt and not the lithium and that modern batteries use no cobalt or nickel. 

13:00 An expert in Climate Change science and an ex-colleague from NPL stopped by – remember this is Teddington!. She told me she’d read a book of random facts about climate change, but had had to stop because it was too depressing.

13:15 A lady passed by without stopping but said she had had lots of conversations about climate change with friends. I told her to keep talking.

13:17. E-bike man passed  by again having bought his lunch, and he said that he had seen an article on associated press that morning about fugitive methane

13:26. Stopped

Tuesday, August 2nd.

11:03 I ventured away from Teddington to nearby Hampton Hill and set up outside a parade of shops near a local Tesco.

11:25 Interesting interaction with two air-conditioning servicing engineers who had just emerged from Tesco with their lunch.

The younger one engaged me and said “We’re part of the problem mate”. he said, “We’re 7% of emissions.”.  I said he was also part of the solution. We’re all going to need air-conditioning in the future, and installing heat pumps is going to be a big business. He acknowledged that, but said that the refrigerant was harmful, and the less harmful it was, the worse it was as a refrigerant.

Then his older and fatter colleague came out. He said “I’m not going to get drawn into this because we’ll end up having an argument.” And then he got drawn into it. He said there may be some emissions he said, but there is also a natural cycle. I told him that actually it’s all human emissions.

He then went on about ice ages, and the massive emissions in the Victorian era when there was no global warming. I told him emissions in the Victorian era were low: around 1 billion tonnes of CO2 per year and that now emissions are 36 billion tonnes per year.

He then went on to say “Anyway it’s not us, 72% of emissions come from China”. I pointed out that it wasn’t that high and that the US and China pollute similarly. He wandered off saying “I knew we’d have an argument.”

After that interaction, two people at the bus stop spoke to me and said “Sorry you had to have that, he was like that in Tesco!”. Then they said “Good luck!”

11:35 A man about 60 years of age with long hair approached me and asked me what I was an expert in. I said I was an expert in measurements of temperature and explained how I had made the most accurate temperature measurements ever made. He said he had studied particle physics so I included some slightly more technical details. He told me he was in the film and graphics business but didn’t do much these days, just built websites.

I asked him his take on the climate crisis and he said he wasn’t concerned. He said global warming was 0.2°C, and that NASA had edited the data for specific years. I told him that wasn’t true but he insisted and named the individual years in question. Then he had to get on the bus   

11:41 A young man with a ponytail and some over-ear headphones nodded to me. Then an elderly man with smart grey hair and wearing cool summer shorts said good morning. 

11:51 A black man stopped by and said “He didn’t know what to say because things may get political”. He said first he was from Africa and then changed his mind – he sounded very English to me, like he came from Henley or similar – but he did trade with Africa. He said that the UK was exporting polluting old cars to Africa. I said that was shameful and then I asked what he thought we should do about the climate crisis. 

He said that heating has always been terrible in the UK, and that when he was a child (he said he was 61) he would go out to the library to get warm during the day, and when he was at home they would wear cardigans and pullovers. Now he said his children want to wash a T-shirt then put it in the dryer so they can wear that same day. He thought the price rises that are happening at the moment, although they were very hard on people, might help people value energy more.

He said he couldn’t understand how people in Africa, Nigeria in particular were still using diesel generators so much, when Solar is so cheap. Then he had to go and catch a bus. 

11:59  An elderly man called stopped by, he said it was really warming up. I said yes, but that you had to be something like our age to understand just how different the climate was now to how it was when we were young. He said the government needed to sort it out, and I said I didn’t think the government would be able to sort out their own bedroom, and he laughed and agreed.

I asked him what he thought could be done. He asked me “What could we do?” And I told him that our house in Teddington had been off-grid for a quarter of a year. I said there were things that people could do, but it would take the people who had the money to do them first. He said he was really impressed by news of my house and he would tell his friends. As he left he said good luck to me.

12:35 A lady was just waiting for a bus, but caught my eye and said she hoped I was getting lots of interest. I said I”n fact No, most people just didn’t want to think about it” She said that she had just joined Extinction Rebellion and was waiting to go on the first training course.

13:00  After 25 minutes with no interactions I thought it was time to call it a day.

Climate Communications

July 27, 2022

Friends, as you may know I am frustrated at the inappropriately slow response of our government to the climate emergency we all face.

And I have had a dawning realisation that no superbly written blog article, no gem of a Tweet, and no YouTube presentation is going to change things.

So this week, I took a step inspired by a (completely fictional) scene in the movie The Darkest Hour. In this scene, Winston Churchill ventures onto the London Underground in search of ‘the mind of the people’.

Similarly, in search of grasping ‘the mind of the people’ I spent a few hours this week standing by a small table on Teddington High Street asking passers by what they thought about about our Climate Crisis.

Unsurprisingly, a solid 99% of people politely ignored me. But a few people did stop by and I took pains to note down what they told me. And below is a non-fictionalised account of what happened.

In search of ‘the mind of the people’ on Teddington High Street. 

Monday 25th July

10:45 I set up in front of the sorting office at the end of Elmfield Road.

11:10. A lady stopped by to ask “What can we do?” The lady lived locally and came back a few minutes later and gave me a Bakewell slice she had just bought from the bakers. She said I looked lonely! I was touched by her kindness.

11:50 A DHL driver asked where Nando’s was?

12:00 A South African gentleman stopped by to tell me he didn’t believe climate change is caused by humans but that it was a natural process caused by volcanoes. I told him that humans emitted more CO2 than volcanoes and asked him where he thought the balance was between volcanoes and people in terms of emissions. As he left he told me solemnly that the “World will end with fire”.

12:10 A lady approached me to tell me about a neighbour of hers who was an architect with multiple cars. She also spoke of the Beckhams and their celebrity lifestyles with multiple flights, the Cambridge’s and their palaces that they use helicopters move between, the evil of people keeping dogs, and the many flights and helicopters associated with racing horses. 

13:00. A single lady aged 73 stopped by with lots of positive ideas. She had looked up installing a heat pump but thought she needed to change absolutely everything in her flat. At the same time a lady I had seen earlier with a Fortnum and Mason’s bag wanted to complain about the tactics of extinction rebellion which she thought just put people off. She had herself been delayed by an Extinction Rebellion protest on the way to a funeral

13:30 Stopped

Tuesday 26th of July.

10:51 Set up outside CarpetRight

11:09 A man passed by and said he didn’t want to talk about the climate crisis because it was upsetting

11:21 A nice lady stopped for a chat. She was very sympathetic, acknowledged that this was really a crisis of capitalism and consumption, and was sympathetic to extinction rebellion. She had been off meat for many years and had avoided flying for eight years. She had no real idea what we could do collectively.

11:30 A lady stopped by who seemed know everyone, E.g., the Pope, and Greta Thunberg, and she spoke to me for a long time.

11:40 My neighbour and one-time colleague at NPL, Gordon Edwards stopped by and said hello.

11:54 A nice lady was concerned and knew all the regular things one could do, but agreed that it didn’t quite match the scale of what was required. She was depressed by the previous night‘s Tory party debate in which nobody paid any attention to the climate crisis. Or indeed the crisis in health and social care.

11:58 A young man with a rucksack, nodded his head and said good morning. But didn’t stop

12:19 Interesting talk with lady from a nearby road. She was very worried and very concerned but didn’t know what to do. She lived a very frugal life, and she and her husband had no children but said that if she had children she would be very concerned for what they would inherit

12:31 Another one-time colleague stopped by. He said that it seemed like there was a cloud hanging over the world in the form of climate change, politics, and geopolitics. We agreed that it was important just to keep raising the subject when one had friends who are sceptics: Silence was an enemy.

12:44 A lady who works at TearFund, (a Christian International Development Charity with its headquarters in Teddington) stopped and said they have a kit to allow local churches to declare climate emergencies. She spoke about how Tear Fund saw action on a Climate Change as a theological issue (I said I think I would call it moral issue), because it involved justice and fairness and inequality.

13:07 A young man stopped by who is doing marketing and PR for a company called PATCH which is looking to market direct carbon removal for different companies. He suggested many things including that I focus on the monetary aspect of going green. He was enthused by the fact that private companies were becoming involved in the face of government inaction.

13:20 Stopped.


Friends, I don’t know what to make of this experience, but I felt it was valuable and I will keep doing it.

For the 99% of people who passed by, I feel they saw a person raising the issue on the street. Many would be embarrassed or fearful to stop and talk, but they saw the words ‘Our Climate Crisis’.

Of the 1% of people who stopped, several were profoundly concerned and were doing what they could in their personal lives, but they had more or less abandoned hope of coherent and serious government action on this.

In Winston Churchill’s fictionalised visit to the London Underground, the ‘mind of the people’ became apparent to him in just a few minutes, and with dramatic clarity. I am finding it a little more difficult to decipher their message, but I intend to keep trying.

Domestic Thermal Storage 3: Concrete

July 23, 2022

Friends, this is the third and final article comparing different types of thermal storage.

In previous articles I looked at the humble domestic hot water (DHW) cylinder and the use of a phase-change materials (PCMs) to store heat.

In this article I will look at the use of ‘very big lumps of something very hot‘ as a thermal store.

This brute force technology is implemented in a so-called Zero Emission Boiler (ZEB) from the Tepeo company, and in a behemoth of a storage device akin to a miniature version of the ‘Sand Battery’ that got me started on this, the Warmstone store from the Caldera company.

Zero Emission Boiler (ZEB)

A ZEB thermal store is a device about the size of washing machine that is conceived as replacement for a gas boiler in settings where a heat pump cannot be installed.

It is generally placed wherever the gas boiler was, but being essentially a large lump of concrete, it is extremely heavy – 370 kg – and must be placed only on the ground floor of a house.

Click on the image for a larger version. A ZEB thermal store in an extraordinarily uncluttered kitchen as pictured on the Tepeo website.

The difference between a ZEB and the other thermal storage devices I have described is in the amount of energy which can be stored – a ZEB can store 40 kWh of thermal energy – around 5 times more than a typical DHW cylinder. This is enough thermal energy to not just provide hot water to a house (typically 5 to 10 kWh/day) but also to heat an entire home via its central heating system.

One can imagine a ZEB as being a centralised version of old-fashioned electrical storage heaters. It stores thermal energy by electrically heating a block of ‘high-density concrete’ to an astonishing 800 °C.

At these high temperatures, heat loss is significant, but my estimates suggest that ~150 mm of insulation around a 40 cm cubical block, should limit heat losses to ~ 5.6 kWh/day or around 14%/day.

Extracting thermal energy from a ZEB at 800 °C into water flowing at (say) 50 °C is tricky. Slightly to my surprise, energy cannot be extracted rapidly enough for this to instantly heat water and so it cannot be used to replace a combination boiler. It must still be used with a DHW cylinder as an intermediate store of hot water. However it seems likely to me that Tepeo will solve this problem in the next few years.

Below is a YouTube video  in which Robert Llewelyn discusses the ZEB he has had installed in his own home.


A Warmstone thermal store is something like a miniature version of the ‘Sand Battery‘ that claimed to store heat inter-seasonally. But instead of storing 8 MWh like the ‘sand battery’ – it stores ‘only’ 0.1 MWh or 100 kWh.

It achieves this large capacity by heating a large mass of material – probably concrete of some description – to 500 °C. But it uses vacuum installation to reduce the heat losses to just 4.8 kWh/day – or 5% per day – half the fractional losses of a DHW cylinder or PCM material.

Unsurprisingly the device is large and heavy, weighing 1.8 tonnes and standing 1.8 metres tall with a diameter of 1 metre, so this too large for it to pretend to be a domestic installation. The company imagine it being used in large homes which have outhouses or large gardens.


In the first article I looked at thermal storage in a DHW cylinder. This is the default thermal storage that many people still have in their homes – holding about 8 kWh of thermal energy.

In the second article I looked at Sunamp’s PCM storage which can operate in practice like a DHW cylinder – but is typically less than half the physical size while storing similar amounts of thermal energy.

In this last article I looked at two companies looking to ‘go large’ and store one to two days use of thermal energy for a home. To achieve this they have used large masses of stored material electrically-heated to high temperatures. Surprisingly, despite the large masses and high temperatures, the rate at which water can be heated by these devices is still (currently) limited and so they must both still be used with a DHW cylinder.

All the technologies beyond the basic DHW cylinder all feature computer technology which allows Apps to control the storage and allow integration with smart home controllers – something which is apparently very important, but is an area in which I have absolutely no interest: sorry.

What I learned in writing these articles is the very simple lesson that there is no magic to thermal storage technology. There are no magic materials and there is no magical insulation. To store more energy one simply needs a large mass of material, heated to a high temperature, and kept as well insulated as possible.

Domestic Thermal Storage 2: Phase Change Material

July 23, 2022

Friends, this is the second of three articles in which I am comparing three different types of thermal storage.

In the last article I looked at the humble domestic hot water (DHW) cylinder, and in the next article I will look at large thermal stores. Here we will look at the use of a phase-change material (PCM) to store heat.

In practice a PCM thermal store looks like a regular ‘white goods’ metal box and is typically placed wherever the domestic hot water (DHW) cylinder would have been in a dwelling.

Click on the image for a larger version. Publicity images from the Sunamp web site demonstrating the small physical size of their PCM thermal stores.

But a PCM thermal store has a big advantage over a DHW cylinder: it is typically one third to one half the size for the same amount of thermal storage. Dimensions are typically 1 metre high, 60 cm deep and 40 cm wide.

Click on the image for a larger version. On the left-hand side is a commercial PCM thermal store. On the right-hand side is a schematic explanation of how it works. In this versions of the device, the PCM material is charged using an electrical immersion heater. In other versions it can be charged using a heat pump. In operation, cold water flowed into the device is rapidly heated and discharged.

Additionally a PCM store is cubical, and so makes use of the corners of spaces that DHW cylinders – being cylindrical – can’t use.

Functionally it works like a DHW cylinder. When a tap is opened, cold water flows into the device and is heated as it flows through pipes embedded in the hot PCM material – and hot water flows out.

However, the PCM thermal store has a trick up its sleeve. If the PCM stored heat in a substance at high temperature, then the temperature of the substance would have to be high initially – with high losses – and the storage medium would cool as heat was withdrawn.

PCM thermal stores get around this by using a material which melts – typically at around 55 °C to 60 °C.

  • Charging the PCM involves heating it up to its melting temperature, then supplying the so-called ‘latent heat’ required to change it from one ‘phase’ (a solid) to another ‘phase’ (a liquid). It is then heated further as a liquid.
  • When cold water flows through pipes embedded in the PCM, the PCM cools and freezes around the pipes. When it freezes it stays at its freezing temperature releasing its so-called ‘latent heat’ until the entire charge of of PCM has solidified.

In practice this means that one gets the benefits of a DHW cylinder in a smaller space. PCM thermal stores are particularly well-suited to smaller single-person dwellings.

PCM’s: Home experimentation

A common PCM with which you can experiment at home is candle wax.

While my wife was out at work, I put two candles into a glass container and melted them (one at a time) by putting the container in a jug of boiling water.

Click on the image for a larger version. Top-Left: Melting a candle in a jug of hot water. Right: A partially melted candle.Bottom-left: Measuring the temperature as the molten wax cooled.

When both candles were melted, I put a thermocouple into the wax, wrapped insulation around the glass vessel and then measured the temperature as the molten wax froze – i.e. changed ‘phase’ from liquid to solid (to use the technical terms). The data are shown below:

Click on the image for a larger version. The graph shows the temperature of a thermocouple embedded in 55 g of wax as it froze. Note that there is a sharp change in cooling rate when the wax starts to freeze due to the release of so-called ‘latent heat’. This allows the wax to stay above 50 °C for almost 3 hours, while if it had continued cooling at the initial rate, it would have fallen below 50 °C in under 1 hour.

What one sees is that as the molten wax cools, it looks like it will fall below 50 °C after about 50 minutes. However, once the wax starts to freeze (at about 57 °C), the cooling rate is reduced to roughly one tenth of its previous rate, and the liquid/solid mixture stays above 50 °C for around 160 minutes.

Using a very rudimentary analysis based on googled data:

  • Heat Capacity of wax ~2.5 J/g/°C – assumed the same in liquid or solid state;
  • Latent Heat of wax ~176 J/g;

…one can roughly estimate how much heat is released at temperatures above 50 °C.

Click on the image for a larger version. Analysis of cooling curve in the previous graph allows an estimate of the amount of heat released at temperatures above 50 °C. The latent heat of 55 g of wax amounts to just under 10,000 joules.

Although I had followed the golden rule of experimental physics, I still failed to anticipate just how long it would take the wax to solidify – the experiment took 4 hours and I was almost late preparing my wife’s dinner!

This extended experiment indicates just how much ‘latent’ heat a material can store compared with ‘sensible’ (i.e. sense-able: which can be detected with a thermometer) heat storage.

Based on the latent heat alone, 100 kg of wax – which would occupy a cube with a side of 50 cm – could store 5 kWh of thermal energy – the equivalent of a small DHW cylinder.

Commercial PCM Devices

I don’t know, but I am pretty sure that commercial PCM devices do not use wax as a storage medium.

Update: A Twitter Source tells me that the Sunamp uses “Sodium acetate tryhydrate (plus a few secret additives).”

Sunamp’s list of patents includes a variety of chemicals which can be used, but the particular chemical used and the way it is prepared is likely a trade secret. Nonetheless, I suspect their basic properties are not so different from wax.

They will have a phase change temperature ideally around 55 °C. If the phase change temperature is much higher than this, then the store will operate at too high a temperature and lose more energy. If the phase change temperature is much lower than this, then water will not be sufficiently hot when discharged.

Early models of the PCM stores were designed to be ‘charged’ electrically with a heater immersed in the PCM material. This could be powered either from the grid – ideally using off-peak electricity – or from solar PV panels. However recent versions can also be charged using a heat pump.


PCM thermal stores  represent a clever way to incorporate thermal storage in dwellings where space is at a premium. They are particularly useful in flats and households with just one or two people.

However, like all thermal storage devices, they are not perfect.

One disadvantage is that unlike a DHW cylinder, the storage medium has to ship with the device – it can’t be shipped empty. This makes the devices heavy: A PCM store equivalent to a 200 litre cylinder weighs ~ 172 kg. Of course a DHW water cylinder holding 200 litres of water would weigh more – but it can be filled and emptied in place!

Heating losses are similar to DHW cylinders – with roughly 10% of the stored energy being lost each day – and like DHW cylinders, it can be tricky to know how ‘full’ the store is because it can be difficult to work out what fraction of the PCM material is liquid or solid.

But all-in-all, the PCM thermal stores devices seem to have found a niche where they can make themselves genuinely useful.

Domestic Thermal Storage: Part 1: Hot Water

July 23, 2022

Friends, writing about the ‘Sand Battery’ fiasco the other day brought to mind smaller thermal stores that are used domestically. And so I thought it would be interesting to write about the physics of thermal storage.

But it has all got out of hand and now this this is the first of three articles over which I will compare three different types of thermal storage, one most people are familiar with, and two that are less familiar:

  • A domestic hot water tank.
    • This stores thermal energy in water which is then used directly within a household.
    • A typical Domestic Hot Water (DHW) cylinder stores between 7 kWh and 10 kWh of thermal energy.
  • A phase-change thermal storage device.
    • This stores thermal energy in the so-called ‘latent heat’ of a material which absorbs thermal energy when it is melted, and releases it at a constant temperature as the material freezes.
    • A typical Phase Change Thermal Store stores between 4 kWh and 8 kWh of thermal energy, comparable with a DHW cylinder, but requiring only approximately half the volume.
  • A Zero Emission ‘Boiler’.
    • This stores thermal energy in the heat capacity of a ‘thermal core’ – a cylinder of concrete weighing ~300 kg – which is heated to an astonishing 800 °C.
    • This can store up to 40 kWh of thermal energy.
  • A ‘big thermal store’.
    • Like a Zero Emission Boiler, but heavier – and ‘only’ heated to 500 °C.
    • This can store up to 100 kWh of thermal energy.

Click on the image for a larger version. Schematic illustration of four different types of thermal storage devices and a human being for scale.

The key role of all these devices is to separate two events:

  • The time when energy is consumed from a central resource – such as the electricity grid,
  • The time when energy is used domestically – such as when you take a shower.

Separating these events has two benefits:

  • It allows users to store thermal energy slowly but to release large amounts of thermal energy quickly – such as when you need a flow of hot water ‘instantly’.
  • It allows users to store thermal energy when it is cheap or convenient .

For each device we need to consider how it is heated (‘charged’) and how it passes on its stored heat (‘discharged’).

In this article we will look at how a domestic hot water (DHW) cylinder works and in the following articles we will look at how Phase Change Material Stores works and how Zero Emission Boilers and big thermal stores work.

Domestic Hot Water (DHW) Cylinder

When I first heard a DHW cylinder described a ‘thermal store’, I was initially confused. I had always considered them as storing water!

In the other thermal stores, heat is first stored in a material, and subsequently transferred to circulating water or DHW only when it is required. In a DHW cylinder the storage material is the water which will itself later emerge from a tap.

The amount of stored thermal energy can be estimated as the product of:

  • The volume of water in the tank
  • The heat capacity of water in the tank (4,200 J/°C/litre)
  • The difference between the storage temperature and the charging temperature.

For a 200 litre tank storing water at 55 °C which has been heated from 20 °C this amounts to ~29 MJ or 8.2 kWh.

One can store more energy in a cylinder of a given size by storing water at a higher temperature: at 75 °C the stored energy in the cylinder above would be 12.8 kWh. To prevent discharge of scaldingly hot water, a blending valve would be used on the top of the cylinder and set to (say) 50 °C.

Click on the image for a larger version. Schematic illustration of the structure of a DHW cylinder showing the internal coil for heating the stored water. On the right is a manufacturer’s illustration of the coils within their cylinder.

A DHW cylinder can be charged in one of several ways.

  • In the simplest way, an electrical heater immersed in the water heats the water directly. A 3 kW heater can charge a 200 litre cylinder to 55 °C in just under 3 hours. The heater could be powered by either grid or from excess solar PV.
  • Alternatively, hot water heated by a gas boiler or a heat pump can be flowed through a coil inside the cylinder, passing on its heat to the stored water. The rate of heating in this method will generally be slower than using an immersion heater.

Discharging the cylinder is simple: one opens a tap and the mains water pressure forces water out of the top of the cylinder replacing it with cold water at the bottom.

The rate of discharge of thermal energy is given by the product of:

  • The discharge flow rate (litres/second)
  • The heat capacity of water in the tank (4,200 J/°C/litre)
  • The difference between the storage temperature and the charging temperature.

So if 10 litres of water at 50 °C is discharged per minute, thermal energy is being released at a rate of 21 kW. This is a very high rate of energy use.

‘Combination boilers’ can provide this very high heating rate, but only at the cost of releasing (at the specified flow rate) around 0.1 kg of CO2 for each minute of operation.


One of the difficulties with a DHW cylinder is that natural convection within the cylinder causes the hot water to rise to the top. And the stratification within the cylinder can be very dramatic.

Since most cylinders have only a single thermometer somewhere in the middle of the cylinder, even after reading the thermometer it is difficult to know how much heat is currently stored in the cylinder.

Additionally since the heating coil or immersion heater is typically in the lower third of the cylinder, practically the whole cylinder must be re-heated before any sufficiently hot water is available at the top of the cylinder – which typically takes several hours.

Some modern cylinders made by the Mixergy company exploit the stratification by heating the water from the top and then carefully mixing it with the colder water below.

These computer-controlled cylinders can give a reasonable estimate of the state of charge of the cylinder, and also allow rapid heating of small volumes of water at the top of the cylinder. However, I don’t understand precisely how the technology works.

Update: This video gives a clear – if rather glossy – explanation of how the system works. It turns out that Robert Llewelyn was given one as part of a research study!

Click on the image for a larger version. The water in a conventional DHW cylinder is hotter at the top but the temperature gradient from top to bottom is not well-defined. More modern computer-controlled cylinders from the Mixergy company can precisely control the location of the temperature gradient.

Heat Losses 

A DHW cylinder holding 200 litres is typically 1 metre high with a diameter of 50 cm and insulated with 50 mm thick layer of polyurethane foam with a typical thermal conductivity of 0.025 W/°C/m.

Click on the image for a larger version. Heat losses from a DHW cylinder are typically 10% of the stored energy per day.

For a cylinder at 55 °C, this leads to a heat loss of roughly 35 watts, or 0.85 kWh/day. i.e. the cylinder loses about 10% of its stored energy per day.

This loss rate increases if the water is heated to a higher temperature. For a cylinder at 75 °C the loss rate is ~ 55 watts or 1.32 kWh/day – again, about 10% of its stored energy per day.

The only way to reduce the heat loss is to apply either better insulation (which is expensive) or to apply a thicker layer, which makes the cylinder larger.


A DHW cylinder holding 200 litres is a simple way to store hot water for use around the house.

In the context of renewable energy, it allows a heat pump with a COP of 2.5 to use perhaps 1.5 kW of electricity for 2 hours (3 kWh) to fully charge a cylinder with ~8.5 kWh of thermal energy. This can then be discharged at 10 litres per minute i.e. releasing stored energy at a rate of 21 kW.

The downsides of a DHW cylinder, (large size, 10% leakage per day, unknown temperature gradient within the tank) are generally considered acceptable.

But there are alternatives and we will look at one of these in the next article.

A Sand Battery: Not obviously a great idea.

July 21, 2022

Friends, a few weeks ago I was asked by several people whether I had heard about the latest ‘sand battery’? I had never heard of any such thing.

Most people asking me had come across this article on the BBC which gushingly described a heat storage device – not a battery – that had been built in Finland.

I quickly checked that I correctly understood the meaning of the word ‘battery’:

And I then concluded that this was a deliberate ruse to make a thermal storage system sound more interesting. No need – I love thermal storage systems!

Genuine Thermal Storage ‘Batteries’ do exist and Rosemary Barnes visited one on her Engineering with Rosie Channel a year or so ago.

In the Stiesdal company’s system that Rosie visited, excess electrical energy is stored as heat in an insulated container – similar to the sand battery. But instead of just using this stored thermal energy to directly heat homes (as the ‘Sand Battery’ does) the heat is used to drive a generator and make electricity. So it functionally, it operates like a conventional chemical battery – storing and releasing electrical energy.

In the video, Stiesdal claim overall efficiency is expected to be ~60% but the discharge function produces ‘waste heat’ that could be used for district heating, bringing overall storage efficiency to ~90%. In other words it can do what the sand battery does AND generate electricity.

But as will become clear, I suspect that efficiency is only for short term storage – a day or two – rather than genuinely seasonal storage. Anyway: back to the sand ‘battery’.

Sand Battery Details: How long can it store energy for?

The BBC report that:

Sand is a very effective medium for storing heat and loses little over time. The developers say that their device could keep sand at 500 °C for several months.[my emphasis]

Colloquially this sounds plausible: we are familiar with ceramic materials retaining heat for a long time. But I am sceptical.

Why? Because there are no perfect thermal insulators, and the rate of heat loss from an object is proportional to the difference between the object and its environment. So for an object at 500 °C, heat loss will likely be a serious problem.

I wondered if there might be a better way to do this, for example by choosing a material with a larger heat capacity. Then the same thermal energy could be stored in a medium at lower temperatures – and hence have lower heat losses. The storage material would also need to be cheap so I wondered about something really cheap: water.

Water? Yes. A given volume of water stores three times as much heat as sand heated to the same temperature. However (without pressurisation) water is limited to being heated to 100 °C.

Alternatively, one could say that sand is so poor at storing energy that it HAS to be heated to high temperatures to make it even half-way useful. But at high temperature it will lose heat faster. And storage times of months seem unlikely to me.


Friends, I made a calculation!

I calculated the storage time of two storage vessels both storing 8 MWh of thermal energy (like the Finnish design), one storing sand at 500 °C and the other storing water at 100 °C.

To understand the scale of this system:

  • A typical domestic hot water cylinder at 60 °C stores around 7 kWh of thermal energy so we are envisaging systems roughly 1,000 times larger than a domestic ‘thermal storage’ system.
  • My house requires approximately 4,500 kWh (4.5 MWh) of heating over a winter, so 8 MWh of thermal storage could store enough energy to heat perhaps two homes over winter.
  • Yes, I said two (2).

I fixed the height of the vessels at 7 m (as in the Finnish design) and varied the diameter of the vessels to store enough substance to store 8 MWh (as in the Finnish design). The water vessel was 3.8 m in diameter and the sand vessel was 2.8 m in diameter.

I assumed both vessels were covered with 300 mm of mineral wool insulation with a thermal conductivity of 0.03 W/m/°C, and then calculated the time constant over which the vessels would lose 50% of their stored heat.

Click on image for a larger version. Graph showing the rate at which two vessels (see text for details) would lose their stored energy.

  • The sand vessel would lose 50% of its heat in 2.1 months after which the water would still have retained 84% of its stored energy.
  • The water vessel would lose 50% of its stored energy after 8.4 months after which time the sand would have lost 94% of its stored energy.


Friends, I hate this kind of news story. 

This ‘sand battery’ can store enough heating over winter for 2 houses – neglecting losses – or more likely one house accounting for losses.

Community Thermal Storage – may well make sense in some contexts. Indeed I have seen other implementations of similar ideas (can’t find the links at the moment) that don’t require very high temperatures and hence high heat losses.

But this story reads like a BBC correspondent swallowed a PR story from Finland and then regurgitated it all over the BBC web site.

Inter-seasonal storage of renewable energy is an important technology that will be required if we want to build a system capable of supplying year-round energy from sustainable, but intermittent, sources.

But there are many alternatives. The Stiesdal implementation returns energy as electricity rather than heat, which is much more useful. The electricity could then be used to run heat pumps which would boost the overall efficiency of the system.

Alternatively energy could be stored as green hydrogen, or as pressurised gas. It is still not clear to me which technology will prove optimal: in the end it will come down to cost.

So it’s a complex situation, but facile stories like this do not help anyone.


40 degrees: reflections

July 20, 2022

Friends, Wow! So that was it. I have lived through temperatures probably never experienced in these islands since human beings lived on them.

I am finding it hard to grasp the significance of what has just passed, so these notes are mainly for myself, but I hope you find them relevant.


I wrote about this weather event last Friday because it had been predicted with high confidence by many computer models.

And as it turned out, the models did pretty well.

Click image for larger version. The left-hand panel shows the difference from ‘normal’ temperatures’ (aka ‘temperature anomaly) predicted one week in advance. The right-hand panel shows the same quantity as it actually happened. See text for details.

The images above show the forecast temperatures and the actual temperatures across Europe. My reference for this is a slightly obscure resource which Karsten Haustein  kindly tweeted about.

Considering the complexities of this forecast – think about the different landscapes across the continent for example – this is really impressive.

Note that the ‘actual’ temperatures are a ‘re-analysis product’ – this means they are based on weather station data but the gaps between the weather station locations are interpolated.

From this we can conclude something which is not obvious – this was not a ‘freak’ occurrence. It can be understood using the same basic physics that underpins all weather forecasts and climate models.

The experience

Click image for larger version. The temperature recorded by the weather station in my back garden over 18th and 19th July. The peak temperature was 39.9 °C.

I deliberately went out in the hot weather – 35 °C by 10 a.m. – just to experience it. It felt like being in another country.

And I was reminded that once air temperature exceeds body temperature (~37 °C) a breeze no longer cools the skin by aiding evaporation of sweat – it simply heats the body more effectively. And in the afternoon, with the air temperature around 39 °C, a breeze blew up and it felt like I was walking into a giant hairdryer. It felt shocking.

‘Popping down’ to the local supermarket for salad ingredients I found that the central refrigeration system had failed and all the food was being thrown out.

Click image for larger version. Total refrigeration failure at Teddington Tesco.

I felt a big relief in the evening when temperatures cooled down to (still hot!) 24 °C at 9 p.m.


Aside from the experience of walking in what felt like the output of a giant hairdryer, three things shocked me.

The first was the image of wildfires burning homes on the outskirts of London. The pictures below (stolen from a DW News Report entitled “Hot Weather Brings UK to a Halt“) are truly appalling, and reports indicate that the Fire Service was massively overstretched with similar wildfires across the UK.

The major parks near me – Bushy park and Richmond Park – are both extremely dry and these wildfires made me reflect that this danger was not restricted to the outskirts of London.

The second was an appreciation of the pan-continental scale of the heatwave.

Click image for larger version. The heatwave was pan-continental – see text for details . Image courtesy of NASA.

This image is from the NASA Earth Observatory and shows the surface air temperatures across most of the Eastern Hemisphere on July 13, 2022. It was produced by combining observations with a version of the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) global model, which uses mathematical equations to represent physical processes in the atmosphere.

Of course it’s summer in the Northern Hemisphere, so one expects the map to be red. But as the article explains, temperature records are being broken right around the world.

And the heatwave has not gone away. The hot air has returned to the mainland of Europe, but it could of course return: August is usually just as hot as July in the UK.

And the finally the most shocking thing of all is that this event is still not enough to persuade politicians that this needs to be the focus of all their actions.

It seems they are simply unable to grasp that ‘business as usual’ is the problem, not the solution.

40 degrees Celsius

July 15, 2022

Click image for a larger version. Met Office forecast on Friday 15th July 2022 for temperatures on Tuesday 19th July 2022.

Friends, I am sitting down to write on Friday 15th July 2022, having just read warnings that next week the temperature somewhere in the UK is likely to exceed 40 °C for the first time since… well almost certainly several thousand years.

Despite the fact that this is hardly a surprise, it is still a shock. I feel sick.

Rising Tide

I am reminded of the situation of visiting an unfamiliar beach, and wanting to know if the tide is coming in or going out. Sometimes it’s obvious. But at other times things are not so clear. The waves breaking can obscure the slow steady rise or fall of the tide.

So typically one would pick a ‘fiducial marker’ – perhaps a rock that is very definitely not wet. And one then watches this for a few minutes to see if the tide moves towards it or away from it.

Passing 40 °C is like the tide reaching the fiducial marker on the beach. It confirms that the tide of rising temperatures is still rising with a sickening and merciless inevitability.


Click for a larger version. This is the summary of part 1 of a recent talk I gave to teenagers.

As I mentioned in a recent talk to teenagers (link) the climate in which their parents grew up is gone forever. It will never return. And to most of my readers – that’s the climate that you and I grew up in.

As I wrote the slides for that talk I again felt sick at confronting these children with the magnitude of the misfortune they will face.

It’s a misfortune that was once avoidable, but which is now inevitable.

And yet as I write, leading UK politicians are still competing with each other to reduce our response to this challenge.

I am bewildered at their madness.

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