This is what clarity looks like

At this difficult time, I thought I might offer my assistance to the UK government by showing them what clarity looks like. It looks like this (pdf here)

Slide2

This is New Zealand’s summary of how they intend to respond to each level of threat.

The measures seem reasonable, but I am not advocating for or against them. My point is that in New Zealand everyone knows what they are!

They can look ahead and see what will and won’t be allowed in the future

One of the important advantages of clarity is that if there is a mistake in the guidance – too weak or too strong – it can be changed.

In contrast the UK’s instructions are clearly the product of confused and conflicted discussions – and so individuals are left unsure precisely what they are expected to do.

Here is the kiwi guidance in more detail.

Threat…

Slide3

…Response

  • These responses are cumulative i.e. All level 3 restriction apply at level 4.
  • The responses can be either local or national

LEVEL 4

  • People instructed to stay at home in their bubble other than for essential personal movement.
  • Safe recreational activity is allowed in local area.
  • Travel is severely limited.
  •  All gatherings cancelled and all public venues closed.
    Businesses closed except for essential services (e.g. supermarkets, pharmacies, clinics, petrol stations) and lifeline utilities.
  • Educational facilities closed.
  • Rationing of supplies and requisitioning of facilities possible.
  • Reprioritisation of healthcare services.

LEVEL 3

  • People instructed to stay home in their bubble other than for essential personal movement – including to go to work, school if they have to, or for local recreation.
  • Physical distancing of two metres outside home (including on public transport), or one metre in controlled environments like schools and workplaces.
  • People must stay within their immediate household bubble, but can expand this to reconnect with close family / whānau, or bring in caregivers, or support isolated people. This extended bubble should remain exclusive.
  •  Schools (years 1 to 10) and Early Childhood Education centres can safely open, but will have limited capacity. Children should learn at home if possible.
  • People must work from home unless that is not possible.
  •  Businesses can open premises, but cannot physically interact with customers.
    Low risk local recreation activities are allowed.
  •  Public venues are closed (e.g. libraries, museums, cinemas, food courts, gyms, pools, playgrounds, markets).
  • Gatherings of up to 10 people are allowed but only for wedding services, funerals and tangihanga. Physical distancing and public health measures must be maintained.
  • Healthcare services use virtual, non-contact consultations where possible.
  • Inter-regional travel is highly limited (e.g. for essential workers, with limited exemptions for others).
  • People at high risk of severe illness (older people and those with existing medical conditions) are encouraged to stay at home where possible, and  take additional precautions when leaving home. They may choose to work.

LEVEL 2

  • People can reconnect with friends and family, go shopping, or travel domestically, but should follow public health guidance.
  • Physical distancing of two metres from people you don’t know when out  in public is recommended, with one metre physical distancing in controlled environments like workplaces, unless other measures are in place.
  • A phased approach to gatherings – initially no more than 10 people at any gathering. This applies to funerals, tangihanga, weddings, religious ceremonies and gatherings in private homes. Restrictions reviewed regularly.
  • Sport and recreation activities are allowed, subject to conditions on gatherings and contact tracing requirements, and – where practical – physical distancing.
  • Public venues (museums, libraries, etc.) can open but must comply with public health measures. Gatherings rules do not apply to public venues as long as people are not intermingling.
  • Health and disability care services operate as normally as possible.
  • Most businesses can open to the public, but must follow public health guidance including in relation to physical distancing and contact tracing. Alternative ways of working encouraged where possible (e.g. remote  working, shift-based working, physical distancing, staggering meal breaks, flexible leave).
  • It is safe to send your children to schools, early learning services and  tertiary education. There will be appropriate measures in place.
  • People at higher-risk of severe illness from COVID-19 (e.g. those with underlying medical conditions, especially if not well-controlled, and seniors) are encouraged to take additional precautions when leaving home.
  • They may work, if they agree with their employer that they can do so safely.

LEVEL 1

  • Border entry measures to minimise risk of importing COVID-19 cases.
  • Intensive testing for COVID-19.
  • Rapid contact tracing of any positive case.
  • Self-isolation and quarantine required.
  • Schools and workplaces open, and must operate safely.
  • Physical distancing encouraged. No restrictions on gatherings.
  • Stay home if you’re sick, report flu-like symptoms.
  • Wash and dry hands, cough into elbow, don’t touch your face.
  • No restrictions on domestic transport – avoid public transport  or travel if sick.

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3 Responses to “This is what clarity looks like”

  1. paulmartin42 Says:

    I imagine Boris et al have seen this as NZ started out of Lockdown a little while back. Maybe they will produce something similar when detail is added in the coming days. To me, at first glance, it seems overly complex.

    “In contrast the UK’s instructions … confused” is as much to do with
    the 4 nation problem (which NZ has not got) where the Independence party north of the border leak the plans 4 hours before the PM’s 7pm TV presentation egged on by the hungry media. The Unions, particularly the Teaching ones, are also not being helpful.

    PS Good luck after NPL

  2. protonsforbreakfast Says:

    Yes. Compared with NZ, there is a 4-nation problem but also a scale problem. The population of NZ is less than 5 million – basically West London. So NZ has a much lower population, a lower population density, and was not a hub for travel to and from every corner of the Earth.

  3. abc Says:

    Japan has about twice the UK population and ~1.2 times the population density of UK, and I believe it is also a main travel hub. Yet, it has managed the situation much better thank UK, with less than 16,000 cases and only 624 death, as of today; also daily new cases have never gone beyond 800 cases per day. UK has ~20 times more cases and ~50 times more deaths than Japan.
    The English Government is a disgrace!

    All data can be found on: https://www.worldometers.info/

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