Acknowledge Ignorance

Climate Change as a ‘news story’ will not go away as we approach the Copenhagen Conference in December. But even as news stories surface I find my skepticism stiffening. The fact is that while the evidence for anthropogenic climate change is strong and growing, we simply do not know what is going to happen next. We have projection after projection but in the short term >none< of the models have predicted the decade of relatvely stable temperatures we have just experienecd. And this is the uncomfortable reality we have to acknowledge: we don’t know what is going to happen. We really really really don’t know what will happen next, but we still have to act in the face of this ignorance.

I feel strongly that we need to acknowledge our ignorance. Only when we are clear about ‘where we are’ can we sensibly decide ‘where we want to go’.

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